1. Elimination of innovation programs
The FY 2019 budget continues to send a clear message that the administration does not see a role for federal support in tech commercialization or startup formation. The budget would eliminate several important programs:
- Regional Innovation Strategies program, as part of eliminating the entire Economic Development Administration;
- Hollings Manufacturing Extension Partnership, as part of reducing the U.S. National Institute of Standards and Technology budget by one-third; and,
- Regional Innovation Clusters and Growth Accelerator Program, as part of reducing the U.S. Small Business Administration’s entrepreneurial development budget by 20 percent.
2. Moderation on R&D (and workforce)
The administration did most of its budget development work before the Congressional dealto raise the budget caps on discretionary spending by $85 billion for defense and $68 billion for non-defense activities in FY 2019. Rather than rework its budget, the administration released its original document and an amendment that would advise Congress on how to spend the increased caps. Arguably, the differences between the budget and amendment suggest areas where the administration’s preferences for budget cuts are weaker.
The increased spending proposed in the amendment emphasizes funding federal R&D at FY 2017 levels, instead of the cuts suggested in the full budget proposal. Specifically, the initiatives suggested for additional funding (with amounts) are:
- Agriculture – Agricultural Research Service ($192 million);
- Energy – Science ($1.2 billion), Fossil Energy R&D ($200 million) and Energy Efficiency & Renewable Energy ($120 million);
- NIH – agency-wide authority ($9.2 billion);
- NASA – Planetary Science ($30 million), Aeronautics research partnerships ($25 million) and Exploration Research & Technology ($90 million); and,
- NSF – basic research, STEM education, facilities and new interdisciplinary research ($2.2 billion).
Despite restoring funding for these programs, the administration’s budget amendment would leave nearly $75 billion in non-defense budget authority on the table. Specifically, the proposal shifts $17.7 billion of spending from “mandatory” to “discretionary” budget categories and is still $57 billion under the new cap.
3. Infrastructure plans lacks most innovation considerations
The budget reveals some of the administration’s infrastructure plan, and more details were covered by many news outlets the same day. The bottom line is that the federal spending piece is $200 billion, and the proposal’s references to innovation are limited:
- Research infrastructure (e.g., research parks or labs) is not part of the plan;
- New technologies and construction innovation may have a competitive advantage for $100 billion in infrastructure incentives (that must be matched 4:1); and,
- Rural broadband may be addressed by either the $50 billion that would be set aside for rural projects and by the proposed inclusion of rural broadband projects as eligible for private activity bonds.
4. New support for Appalachia and apprenticeship
The administration does have new support for two innovation-related initiatives: Appalachian Regional Commission and apprenticeships.
ARC’s support in the FY 2019 budget (level funding) is particularly noteworthy because the FY 2017 budget proposed to eliminate the office, and the FY 2018 proposal would have reduced funding by about 80 percent. ARC has a major initiative underway to support economic development activities in communities reliant on coal.
Apprenticeships have received vocal support from the White House previously, including in an executive order promising to expand the program and funding. True to the order, the FY 2019 budget proposes to increase spending on the Department of Labor’s program from $95 million to $200 million. Further support for the concept of apprenticeships is given in directions to reform the Trade Adjustment Assistance program and in the infrastructure plan.
5. Federal reorganization on the horizon
The budget intro devotes five pages to outlining a plan for federal reorganization that will be released in March. The outline indicates that the top consideration will be efficiency and that this will mean terminating positions, better alignment of common processes and shifting activities across agencies. The exact implications are not clear, but the section’s language emphasizes updating the work and skill sets of employees, making contracting easier and sharing infrastructure and processes across agencies. The implications of this plan could be consequential — for better and for worse — for science and innovation programs across the federal government, as well as for state, local and private partners.
Budget outlookThe FY 2019 process will not gain momentum until the FY 2018 process is complete. With the two-year deal on spending caps, Congress can begin the process of appropriating its new discretionary authority. The current continuing resolution (CR) expires on March 23.
With the late resolution of the FY 2018 budget and spending levels for FY 2019 already being set, a smooth finish to the FY 2018 process could help FY 2019 finish relatively quickly. The minimal changes in caps between the two years and limited number of policy changes suggested by the administration’s budget (when the amendment is included) may make the FY 2019 negotiations easier. New House budget chairman Steve Womack (R-AR) has suggested streamlining the year’s process by skipping an initial resolution and reconciliation.
On the other hand, several issues could delay the FY 2019 process. The White House is encouraging Congress not to spend up to the new cap deal and to make existing spending become subject to the caps, which should be of considerable concern to innovation proponents and would presumably raise challenges for a wide range of issues funded by the non-defense budget. This year’s process has been held up while Congress debated indirect budgetary issues: health care, tax reform and immigration. In addition to these issues being a continuing concern, some Republicans have indicated that they are eager to address mandatory spending reform, which could also bleed into discretionary budget arguments.
 Unlike in previous years, SSTI does not plan to release a full, per-agency review of tech-based economic development-related line items for FY 2019. Have a subject that you would like to see covered in more detail? Let us know: firstname.lastname@example.org.